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Lia Forcina, Partner and Portfolio Manager at LGR Capital, joins Personable to unpack what is really driving global markets in 2025 and beyond, from geopolitics and government spending to gold, energy, and shifting capital flows.
In this episode, Lia explains why markets began the year pricing a Goldilocks scenario, how geopolitical tensions are quietly reshaping risk premiums, and why governments, not markets, now dictate where capital moves. She shares her views on gold, inflation risk, Europe versus the US, and how investors should cut through noise by following policy, not headlines.
This is an essential listen for anyone trying to understand macro markets in an era of political shock, fragmented alliances, and policy-driven investing.
She discusses:
◽️ Why markets priced Goldilocks and what changed
◽️ How geopolitics and energy are reshaping risk premiums
◽️ Why gold continues to surge
◽️ Governments as the real drivers of capital allocation
◽️ How investors should position for 2025–2026
00:00 Why markets entered the year pricing Goldilocks
03:40 Geopolitics, Venezuela, Iran, and global power shifts
11:50 Gold, energy security, and inflation signals
17:30 Europe, Germany, and defense as a structural trade
23:40 Capital flows, Treasuries, and reserve currency risks
30:10 Banks, deregulation, and financial innovation
37:00 What markets are not pricing yet
43:30 Retail investors, prediction markets, and risk-taking
50:20 Private credit, illiquidity, and systemic risks
56:30 AI, hiring, and the future of hedge funds
1:03:00 The key questions investors should be asking in 2026
1:08:30 Final takeaways: follow the money, ignore the noise
Lia Forcina
◽️ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lia-forcina-17352459
Harvey Bracken-Smith:
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Additional:
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Personable is a podcast dedicated to helping listeners become the best they can be by learning from the world’s best in their respective fields. This mission is inspired by my mother, Louise, who encouraged me to become the best version of myself before she passed away from cancer in 2023.
This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Investing involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
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