Equity Mates Investing Podcast

Inflation won't budge, interest rates are staying higher for longer, AI spending is reshaping global markets, and Australia's share market is looking increasingly expensive. So where are the opportunities for investors? Bryce & Ren are joined by Seb Mullins, Head of Multi-Asset and Fixed Income at Schroders Australia and Portfolio Manager of the Schroder Real Return Active ETF (ASX: GROW), to make sense of it all. From the Iran conflict and oil prices to the trillion-dollar AI investment boom, Seb explains why volatility is creating winners and losers across shares, bonds and credit.

In this episode:
00:00 Why Traditional Diversification Needs a Rethink
02:08 Inflation, Geopolitics & the New Investing Environment
07:39 Sticky Inflation & Where Interest Rates Go Next
15:55 AI's Trillion-Dollar Boom: Opportunity or Bubble?
20:59 Bonds Are Back, but Where Are the Opportunities?
23:40 The Hidden Weakness Beneath US Share Markets
34:33 Crash Indicators, Global Risks & Australia's Outlook
42:14 Beyond Shares + Bonds: Building a Resilient Portfolio

Stocks & ETFs mentioned: Schroder Real Return Active ETF (ASX: GROW), S&P 500 Index (INDEX: SPX), Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD)

Check out the Schroder Real Return Active ETF (ASX: GROW) here

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Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.
Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)
We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points
Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
Watch on YouTube
Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

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This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Bill Ackman turned a two-person investment club into Pershing Square, a $33 billion investment giant built on high-conviction bets and some of Wall Street’s most famous battles. In New York, Bryce & Ren sit down with the billionaire investor to get his take on whether AI is a bubble, why he sold Alphabet and bought back into Netflix, and his plan to turn Howard Hughes into a modern-day Berkshire Hathaway. Plus, a surprising story about Warren Buffett, and Bill gives his verdict on Bryce & Ren’s own portfolios.

In this episode:
00:00 Bill Ackman's Biggest Wins, Losses And Lessons
07:15 Inside The Pershing Square Empire
09:42 Is AI The Biggest Investment Opportunity Or A Bubble?
11:03 Could AI Become A Threat To Humanity?
14:31 Why Bill Is Bullish On Big Tech's AI Spending
16:42 Interest Rates, Inflation And The Fed's Next Move
21:39 Where Bill Sees Opportunities And Hidden Risks
24:40 The Investment Philosophy Behind His Billions
28:09 Why Bill Ackman Is No Longer An Activist Investor
30:02 What Makes A Business Almost Impossible To Disrupt?
32:02 Why He Only Owns A Handful Of Stocks
35:32 Why Bill Sold Netflix And Then Bought It Back
38:19 Why He Sold Alphabet But Still Owns Big Tech
41:08 How Bill Judges CEOs And Uses AI To Research Stocks
44:10 What Warren Buffett Taught Bill Ackman
47:31 The Secret Behind Berkshire Hathaway's Success
50:09 Building The Next Berkshire With Howard Hughes
55:36 Why Insurance Is The Key To His Next Big Bet
59:24 Bill Ackman Reviews Our Stock Portfolios
01:05:37 Why Great Stocks Are Getting Cheaper
01:06:50 Bill's High-Conviction Bet On Fannie Mae And Freddie Mac
01:08:39 His Biggest Piece Of Advice For Everyday Investors

Stocks & ETFs Mentioned: Pershing Square Inc. (NYSE: PS), Pershing Square USA (NYSE: PSUS), Pershing Square Holdings (LSE: PSH), Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B), Canadian Pacific Kansas City (NYSE: CP), Herbalife (NYSE: HLF), Bausch Health (NYSE: BHC), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), Blackstone (NYSE: BX), KKR (NYSE: KKR), Howard Hughes Holdings (NYSE: HHH), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), Apollo Global Management (NYSE: APO), Uber (NYSE: UBER), Restaurant Brands International (NYSE: QSR), Wendy’s (NASDAQ: WEN), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Visa (NYSE: V), Mastercard (NYSE: MA), Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ: AXON), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Spotify (NYSE: SPOT), Universal Music Group (Euronext Amsterdam: UMG), Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG), TransMedics (NASDAQ: TMDX), MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI), Sea Limited (NYSE: SE), Fannie Mae (OTC: FNMA), Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC)

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Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message
And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.
Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)
We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points
Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
Watch on YouTube
Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Markets are looking increasingly unpredictable, but are investors overlooking some of the world's most reliable businesses?

Lazard Asset Management's Warryn Robertson joins Bryce and Ren to explain why he's looking for predictable earnings and strong competitive advantages, and why he's increasingly concerned about what's happening beneath the surface of the share market.

From data centres and mobile towers to Visa, lotteries and a surprisingly compelling tax business, Warryn unpacks where he's finding opportunities, why he thinks some popular investments don't stack up and how AI is changing the definition of a great business.

In this episode:

00:00 Finding Predictable Stocks
01:38 Warryn’s Investing Origins
04:35 Spotting Financial Red Flags
06:50 Why Infrastructure and Equities
11:22 Visa as a Franchise
13:18 Inflation and Infrastructure
15:45 Inside the Infrastructure Checklist
20:05 Satellite and Tower Assets
24:48 Five Sources of Franchise
29:57 Fund Performance and Positioning
36:01 AI and Business Predictability
38:31 H&R Block’s Hidden Strength

Stocks & ETFs mentioned: Visa (NYSE: V), SES (Euronext Paris: SESG), American Tower (NYSE: AMT), Crown Castle (NYSE: CCI), Cellnex Telecom (BME: CLNX), Anheuser-Busch InBev (EBR: ABI), Brightstar Lottery (NYSE: BRSL), La Française des Jeux (EPA: FDJ), PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL), H&R Block (NYSE: HRB)

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Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.
Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)
We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points
Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
Watch on YouTube
Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Bryce & Ren unpack the growing backlash against data centres after NextDC plunged 42% in a day, and, whether combining Tesla and SpaceX could be Musk's biggest move yet. Plus, with just weeks left in the community portfolio challenge, the boys review their winners, losers and potential final trades. Then Henry Jennings from Marcus Today joins for Pimp My Portfolio, helping a community member tackle ETF overlap, diversification and the art of keeping investing simple.

In this episode:
00:00 NextDC crashes 42% as backlash grows
06:57 Breakthroughs, cybersecurity & the compute crunch
10:23 Tesla + SpaceX: Elon Musk's mega-merger plans
15:32 Community portfolio update: Are we beating the market?
17:09 The biggest winners & losers in our portfolio
19:49 October stock picks: What should we buy next?
23:44 Pimp My Portfolio with Henry Jennings
28:07 ETF overlap, diversification & DCA

Stocks & ETFs Mentioned: NextDC (ASX: NXT), Goodman Group (ASX: GMG), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Walmart (NYSE: WMT), Betashares Diversified All Growth ETF (ASX: DHHF), PWR Holdings (ASX: PWH), Pro Medicus (ASX: PME), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Global X Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure ETF (ASX: AINF), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM), GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV), Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX: TLX), Codan (ASX: CDA), Betashares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF (ASX: DRIV), Catapult Group International (ASX: CAT), Motorcycle Holdings (ASX: MTO), SK Hynix (KRX: 000660), APA Group (ASX: APA), ResMed (ASX: RMD), Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG), HUB24 (ASX: HUB), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV), Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS), Vanguard FTSE Europe Shares ETF (ASX: VEQ), Vanguard FTSE Asia ex Japan Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAE), Betashares Global Cybersecurity ETF (ASX: HACK), Global X Physical Gold Structured (ASX: GOLD), Global X Defence Tech ETF (ASX: DTEC), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets AUD ETF (ASX: IEM)

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Rich Girl Summer is just around the corner and to get you prepared, Equity Mates & Betashares are teaming up for an investing event designed to help women feel more confident with their money.
Whether you're just starting your investing journey or looking to take it to the next level, bring a friend (or a few!) and join us for an evening of great conversations, cocktails, canapés & good company.
Because investing is better when you're learning together.
Sydney | 12th November
Tickets are limited, so make sure you secure your spots here!

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.
Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)
We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points
Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
Watch on YouTube
Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The S&P 500 keeps climbing, but what if your portfolio is taking on more risk than you realise? Bryce & Ren are joined by Matt Jones, Co-Portfolio Manager of the Fidelity Research Global Equities Fund, to unpack the momentum trade powering global markets and the hidden concentration risks lurking beneath the surface. From AI giants dominating index returns to the overlooked stocks Fidelity believes could be tomorrow’s winners, Matt explains how investors can look under the bonnet of their portfolios.

In this episode:
00:00 Introducing Matt Jones
03:11 Momentum Investing Explained: How It Works & Why It Matters
05:49 The Hidden Concentration Risk in the S&P 500 & AI Trade
10:36 Active vs Passive: Are You Paying for an Index-Hugging Fund?
13:02 When Momentum Reverses & How Fidelity Spots Opportunities
19:11 NVIDIA, Microsoft & the Outlook for the AI Trade
24:02 How to Audit Your Portfolio for Hidden Concentration
27:02 Two Unloved Stocks Fidelity Likes

Stocks & ETFs Mentioned: NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM), Samsung Electronics (KRX: 005930), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV), Firmus, Amer Sports (NYSE: AS), Nike (NYSE: NKE), Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU), LVMH (EPA: MC), Moncler (BIT: MONC), Scout24 (ETR: G24), REA Group (ASX: REA), CoStar Group (NASDAQ: CSGP), Domain Holdings Australia, Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z), Salesforce (NYSE: CRM)

Case study referenced: When momentum becomes the market | Investment Insights | Fidelity Australia

Learn more about the Fidelity Research Global Equities Fund and Fidelity’s approach to systematic investing at fidelity.com.au
Investors should consider the PDS and TMD available at fidelity.com.au, and whether this product is suitable for you. FIL Responsible Entity (Australia) Limited, ABN 33 148 059 009, AFSL 409 340.

———

Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a message

And come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.

———

Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.
Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)
We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis Points
Listen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)
Watch on YouTube
Read the monthly email

———

Looking for some of our favourite research tools?
Download our free Basics of ETF handbook
Or our free 4-step stock checklist
Find company information on TIKR
Research reports from Good Research
Track your portfolio with Sharesight

———

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes only. Any advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs. If unsure, speak to a financial professional. The host of this podcast and their guests may have positions in the companies mentioned. Equity Mates Media is part of the Betashares Group but maintains editorial independence and operates under Australian Financial Services licence 540697.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.