TransUnion: Extra Credit

• Episode 36: Risk, Resilience and the Future of Lending

  DJ Cox joins this month, flipping the script on Craig and Josh with the most-asked questions he’s hearing within the credit and lending space. As they reflect on 2025 so far, Josh highlights signs of recovery in card originations and improving delinquency trends. And Craig adds a macro perspective, describing consumers as “cautiously stable” amid mixed economic signals. Looking ahead, the conversation turns to key risks and opportunities — from tariff uncertainty and returning student loan payments to lenders shifting toward more selective growth strategies. They also examine trends in credit lines and balances, pointing to stable utilization and signs of disciplined behavior among consumers. The episode wraps with an assessment of the shrinking private label card market and why it still matters, even against rising competition like buy now, pay later services. The information discussed in this podcast constitutes the opinion of TransUnion, and TransUnion shall have no liablity for any actions taken based upon the content of this podcast.

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• Episode 35: The Economic Crossroads of Tariffs, Global Trade and Labor Market Trends

  In this special episode, recorded live from TransUnion's annual Financial Services Summit in Chicago, hosts Craig and Josh are joined by Paul Gruenwald, Chief Global Economist at S&P Global Ratings. The conversation kicks off with an in-depth exploration of the economic impacts of tariffs, financial implications of tightening federal spending, and why tracking the labor market is key to predicting a recession. Paul then shares his take on the future of the US labor market, including the potential for increased domestic manufacturing, and discusses implications of AI. Shifting gears to global trade, they consider the connections between savings, investments and net exports, and assess the US dollar's status as the global reserve currency. Finally, they examine significant investments in renewable energy projects and macroeconomic impacts of moving away from a fossil fuel-based economy. The information discussed in this podcast constitutes the opinion of TransUnion, and TransUnion shall have no liablity for any actions taken based upon the content of this podcast.

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• Episode 34: A Cautiously Optimistic Consumer Credit Market

  TransUnion Sales VP Brad Deja is in the studio this month to talk shop! Josh starts by highlighting signs of a stabilizing market, including a slower decline in loan originations and the return of prime and below prime card issuance to pre-pandemic levels. Brad inquires about market expectations for Q1, noting a number of consumers are still struggling with inflation. Craig explains why he believes consumer credit health is evening out despite these challenges. When asked about the continued decline in originations, Josh attributes this to issuers’ caution — while also pointing out positive demand signs in higher credit tiers. The conversation then shifts to current trends in card balances and utilization; Brad wonders whether delinquencies have peaked yet; and finally, Craig notes the most pertinent fraud challenges facing lenders today. The information discussed in this podcast constitutes the opinion of TransUnion, and TransUnion shall have no liablity for any actions taken based upon the content of this podcast.

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• Episode 33: 2024 in Review: From Past Predictions to Future Insights

  Jason Laky, Executive Vice President of Financial Services at TransUnion, returns for the first time since June 2022! Things kick off with a review of past predictions, including a recession forecast and an assessment of the current consumer credit market. Jason is optimistic about stable interest rates and potential regulatory improvements benefiting financial services. Josh and Jason discuss 2024 lender impacts across mortgage, auto, credit card and FinTech sectors, with a look at the state of consumer financial health. Jason considers whether consumers will adapt to current interest rates to enter the housing market. Craig and Jason address fraud sophistication and the need for financial institutions to implement better fraud mitigation strategies. They also explore potential disruptions in consumer lending, with Jason predicting generative AI will enhance financial services through improved personalization and efficiency. Finally, Craig inquires about student loan payments resuming, and the future of mergers and acquisitions in a challenging cost environment. The information discussed in this podcast constitutes the opinion of TransUnion, and TransUnion shall have no liablity for any actions taken based upon the content of this podcast.

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• Episode 32: Risky Business: Tackling Fraud Threats in a Shifting Card Market

  TransUnion Sales VP Danielle Parry-Hill joins the podcast this month to discuss the state of the card market and growing concerns around fraud. Danielle and Josh kick things off by noting while originations are down, charge-offs, delinquencies and card utilization are rising. Danielle raises a key question from CFIs: Have delinquencies peaked? Craig advises issuers to adjust their risk strategies accordingly. Danielle points out CFIs are now facing significant fraud challenges, including bots testing identities. Josh highlights the surge in early default losses on credit cards and growing difficulty in managing fraud due to synthetic identities and first-party fraud. Craig shifts the focus to bankruptcy, noting while rates are low, increased debt settlements might be hiding underlying risks — and lastly, explains why private label cards have become riskier than bankcards. The information discussed in this podcast constitutes the opinion of TransUnion, and TransUnion shall have no liablity for any actions taken based upon the content of this podcast.

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